Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.661697 0.781356 0.911236 1.062047 1.231684 1.415941 1.630539
2025-07-06 0.467571 0.631322 0.827230 1.075657 1.378861 1.733413 2.175625
2025-07-13 0.340703 0.522571 0.760611 1.086780 1.513171 2.042412 2.738764
2025-07-20 0.257222 0.445057 0.712055 1.103703 1.646341 2.353589 3.324644
2025-07-27 0.195542 0.380516 0.664845 1.108635 1.755843 2.635454 3.887020
2025-08-03 0.143800 0.316275 0.603251 1.079138 1.807605 2.836627 4.348745
2025-08-10 0.111419 0.275126 0.568079 1.080664 1.898754 3.092591 4.894340
2025-08-17 0.082214 0.230531 0.517363 1.047776 1.930528 3.260590 5.320423
2025-08-24 0.064886 0.204426 0.493571 1.054330 2.020991 3.516384 5.881356
2025-08-31 0.050243 0.179090 0.465714 1.048606 2.088477 3.738306 6.399875
2025-09-07 0.042530 0.168151 0.464268 1.089592 2.235335 4.088737 7.124142
2025-09-14 0.035171 0.155328 0.456136 1.116101 2.357894 4.405362 7.808247
2025-09-21 0.026102 0.133670 0.424789 1.094959 2.398018 4.596983 8.316968
2025-09-28 0.020873 0.121909 0.414233 1.114648 2.513465 4.918561 9.045090
2025-10-05 0.016431 0.110441 0.401824 1.128614 2.618963 5.228550 9.767424
2025-10-12 0.013029 0.100922 0.392251 1.147158 2.733793 5.559056 10.534758
2025-10-19 0.009981 0.090619 0.377909 1.152728 2.823127 5.848942 11.245533
2025-10-26 0.006908 0.077019 0.350047 1.122524 2.838351 6.008878 11.746297
2025-11-02 0.005130 0.068811 0.336396 1.124187 2.917158 6.283731 12.447034
2025-11-09 0.003368 0.057896 0.310209 1.090305 2.918775 6.418324 12.913772
2025-11-16 0.002471 0.052214 0.300446 1.097082 3.005899 6.711325 13.658716
2025-11-23 0.001707 0.046047 0.286753 1.091185 3.064635 6.953436 14.322567
2025-11-30 0.001395 0.044349 0.290346 1.133462 3.231970 7.405181 15.364371